Global power generation mix (Bloomberg NEO 2019) |
The falling prices of renewable energy and batteries reshape the electricity system over the next 32 years. Solar grows the most, rising from 2% of the world’s generation to 22% in 2050. Batteries, peakers and dynamic demand help wind and solar energy reach more than 80% in some regions.
Bloomberg analysts see $13.3 trillion invested in new power generation up to 2050, of which 80% is zero carbon. They say "By 2050, coal-fired generation is down 51%, supplying just 12% of world electricity, from 27% today." Such that coal collapses everywhere except for Asia and that coal peaks globally in 2026.
Changes in some of the highest energy users are such that:
- In the U.S.coal and nuclear are pushed out due to the ageing of their plants. Utility-scale batteries for peaking purposes grow in significance from around 2035, supporting renewables penetration, which reaches 43% in 2050. In that year, emissions are 54% lower than today.
- In Europe, renewables make up 90% of the electricity mix by 2040, with wind and solar accounting for 80%.
- China continues to be the largest market for wind and solar and together they grow from 8% to 48% of total generation by 2050.
- India becomes the second-largest power system in the world by 2044, overtaking the U.S. It expands its zero carbon energy technologies to 67% by 2050.
Read more:
- Bloomberg New Energy Outlook 2019, June 2019.
- Solar, wind and batteries to deliver 50% of global power by 2050. RenewEconomy, June 19 2019.
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